# Crypto markets

## The five assets

Fronex tracks five crypto assets at launch:

* **BTC** — Bitcoin
* **ETH** — Ethereum
* **SOL** — Solana
* **XRP** — Ripple
* **TON** — the asset our chain runs on

Crypto is one of Fronex's most active pillars.

## Market types

### Daily close-strike

Will the asset close above or below a target price at end-of-day UTC?

> **BTC ≥ $70,000 by 23:59 UTC** Yes · No

### Weekly close-strike

Same format, weekly horizon. Closes Sunday 23:59 UTC.

### Top performer of the week

Multi-outcome (5-way): which of BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, TON has the highest 7-day return?

### Pair outperform

Two-way: does asset A outperform asset B over a given window?

> **TON outperforms ETH over the next 7 days?** Yes · No

### FIFA World Cup 2026 final price marquees

Marquee markets for the duration of the FIFA World Cup 2026:

* **BTC price on the day of the World Cup Final** — multi-outcome bucketed
* **TON price on the day of the World Cup Final** — multi-outcome bucketed

## The Match-Window Crypto feature

This is Fronex's cross-pillar differentiator and a marquee feature for the FIFA World Cup 2026:

**Every soccer match auto-spawns 3 or more linked crypto markets** keyed to the match's kickoff and full-time. These markets:

* Open when the match opens
* Close when the match ends
* Resolve from a **Binance price snapshot at full-time**, cross-checked against CoinGecko, within 60 seconds of the final whistle

Example for **Brazil vs Argentina, kickoff 21:00 UTC**:

* "BTC ↑ during the match?" — yes/no
* "TON outperforms ETH for the next 2 hours?" — yes/no
* "BTC moves > 0.5% (either direction) during the match?" — yes/no

The result: a 90-minute soccer match generates \~3 short, sharp crypto markets you can predict alongside the match itself. You don't need to pick between watching the game and trading — you do both.

## Resolution

* **Primary source**: Binance
* **Secondary check**: CoinGecko
* **Backup**: Pyth (used only if Binance is unavailable and CoinGecko disagrees)

If the primary and secondary prices disagree by more than a small margin, the market pauses and we settle it manually within 24 hours.

For match-window markets, the price is captured **within 60 seconds of full-time**. We keep both the Binance and CoinGecko readings on record so any settlement can be checked later.

## Pricing

Crypto strike markets ("BTC closes above $X by date Y") show an **indicative price** computed from live spot + a volatility model — refreshed every 30 seconds. It's a fair-value anchor; the order-book price is what you actually trade. See [How predictions work § The indicative price](/making-predictions/overview.md#the-indicative-price).

## In the app

Crypto markets show up in **orange**.

## What you'll never see in crypto markets

No leveraged products. No perpetuals. No "long" or "short" framing. Fronex crypto markets are **binary or N-way prediction markets** — you call the direction and the outcome resolves yes/no. There is no liquidation, no funding rate, no leverage multiplier.


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